Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.028893 0.031659 0.034387 0.037276 0.040241 0.043192 0.046347
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.022935 0.027378 0.031876 0.036743 0.041837 0.046991 0.052581
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.018762 0.024293 0.030024 0.036340 0.043049 0.049917 0.057443
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015343 0.021613 0.028261 0.035709 0.043721 0.052005 0.061151
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.012784 0.019615 0.027022 0.035442 0.044598 0.054139 0.064740
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.011050 0.018377 0.026483 0.035813 0.046045 0.056774 0.068750
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.008863 0.016435 0.025031 0.035073 0.046193 0.057932 0.071104
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007339 0.015152 0.024236 0.034984 0.046982 0.059716 0.074061
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005858 0.013789 0.023267 0.034632 0.047424 0.061074 0.076509
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004471 0.012406 0.022197 0.034107 0.047623 0.062123 0.078580
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002885 0.010542 0.020452 0.032738 0.046828 0.062042 0.079386
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.010270 0.020630 0.033575 0.048483 0.064621 0.083050
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001652 0.009447 0.020214 0.033857 0.049681 0.066882 0.086583
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000720 0.008117 0.019120 0.033350 0.050018 0.068241 0.089190
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.006958 0.018165 0.032962 0.050458 0.069687 0.091870
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005772 0.017073 0.032352 0.050602 0.070770 0.094116
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004877 0.016304 0.032094 0.051118 0.072237 0.096756
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004372 0.016054 0.032452 0.052328 0.074460 0.100204
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003392 0.014985 0.031736 0.052248 0.075208 0.101998
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002790 0.014436 0.031650 0.052886 0.076743 0.104642
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002141 0.013716 0.031310 0.053201 0.077893 0.106838
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001503 0.012895 0.030802 0.053291 0.078769 0.108711
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000711 0.011506 0.029481 0.052373 0.078471 0.109255